A bi-logistic growth model for conference registration with an early bird deadline

• Authors: Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou
• Languages of publication: EN

Abstracts

EN

The recent interest in human dynamics has led researchers to investigate the processes that explain human behaviour within different contexts. Here we are concerned in modelling the human response to a deadline, and in particular we look at the process of conference registration with an early bird deadline. We provide empirical evidence from a six-year conference registration data set that the bi-logistic growth function, with the interpretation as registration with an early bird deadline, can be viewed as a social mechanism.

Keywords

EN

data analysis; human dynamics; social mechanism; bi-logistic growth function

• Publisher: De Gruyter Open
• Journal: Open Physics
• Year: 2013
• Volume: 11
• Issue: 7
• Pages: 904-909

Dates

published

1 - 7 - 2013

online

17 - 10 - 2013

Contributors

author

Trevor Fenner

• Department of Computer Science and Information Systems, Birkbeck, University of London, London, WC1E 7HX, UK

author

Mark Levene

• Department of Computer Science and Information Systems, Birkbeck, University of London, London, WC1E 7HX, UK

author

George Loizou

• Department of Computer Science and Information Systems, Birkbeck, University of London, London, WC1E 7HX, UK

References

• [1] A.-L. Barabási, IEEE Contr. Syst. Mag. 27, 33 (2007) http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/MCS.2007.384127[Crossref]
• [2] A.-L. Barabási, Nat. 435, 207 (2005) http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature03459[Crossref]
• [3] T. I. Fenner, M. Levene, G. Loizou, G. Roussos, Comput. Net. 51, 4586 (2007) http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.comnet.2007.06.013[Crossref]
• [4] T. I. Fenner, M. Levene, G. Loizou, IEEE T. Comput. Intell. AI Games 4, 84 (2012) http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/TCIAIG.2012.2190603[Crossref]
• [5] H. A. Simon, Biometrika 42, 425 (2004)
• [6] P. Hedström, R. Swedberg, Social mechanisms: An introductory essay, In: P. Hedström, R. Swedberg (Ed.), Social Mechanisms: An Analytical Approach to Social Theory (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K., 1998) 1 http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511663901.001[Crossref]
• [7] P. Hedström, P. Bearman, What is analytical sociology all about: An introductory essay, In: P. Hedström, P. Bearman (Ed.), Handbook of Analytical Sociology (Oxford University Press, Oxford, 2009) 3
• [8] T. C. Schelling, Social mechanisms and social dynamics, In: P. Hedström, R. Swedberg (Ed.), Social Mechanisms: An Analytical Approach to Social Theory (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K., 1998) 32 http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511663901.002[Crossref]
• [9] C. Marchetti, P.S. Meyer, J.H. Ausubel, Technol. Forecast. Soc. 52, 1 (1996) http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0040-1625(96)00001-7[Crossref]
• [10] P. S. Meyer, J.W. Yung, J.H. Ausubel, Technol. Forecast. Soc. 61, 247 (1999) http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0040-1625(99)00021-9[Crossref]
• [11] V. Alfi, A. Gabrielli, L. Pietronero, Nat. Phys. 3, 746 (2007) http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nphys761[Crossref]
• [12] V. Alfi, A. Gabrielli, L. Pietronero, Cent. Eur. J. Phys. 7, 483 (2009) http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/s11534-009-0059-z[Crossref]
• [13] P. Flandrin, Adv. Complex Syst. 7, 439 (2010) http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/S0219525910002554[Crossref]
• [14] P. Meyer, Technol. Forecast. Soc. 47, 89 (1994) http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0040-1625(94)90042-6[Crossref]
• [15] D. Kucharavy, R. De Guio, Procedia Eng., 9, 559 (2011) http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.proeng.2011.03.142[Crossref]
• [16] C. Forbes, M. Evans, N. Hastings, B. Peacock, Statistical Distributions, 4th edition (John Wiley & Sons, New York, NY, 2011)
• [17] J. E. Sheehy, P.L. Mitchell, A.B. Ferrer, Ann Bot-London 94, 811 (2004) http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/aob/mch208[Crossref]
• [18] M. Ausloos, Adv. Complex Syst. 16, 1250088 (2012) http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/S0219525912500889[Crossref]
• [19] H. Motulsky, Intuitive Biostatistics (Oxford University Press, Oxford, 1995)
• [20] N. Mead, T. Islam, Int. J. Forecast. 11, 199 (1995) http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0169-2070(94)00556-R[Crossref]

Identifiers

DOI

10.2478/s11534-013-0275-4