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How people react to a deadline: time distribution of conference registrations and fee payments

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Alfi V., Gabrielli A., Pietronero L.
Open Physics
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2009
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vol. 7
|
issue 3
483-489
EN
In this paper we present two simple mathematical models to describe human behavior in reaction to deadlines. When a real commitment (e.g. money) is involved, as in the case of a payment deadline, the expected reaction is to postpone it as close as possible to the deadline to minimize the risk of loosing the value. For low risk commitments this tendency is still present but expected to be looser. In order to test these predictions in a quantitative way, we performed data analysis for the total number of registrations and fee payments vs. time for the recent scientific conference “Statphys 23”, comparing it with the data of another conference in order to recover universal features. Two related models respectively for registrations (weak engagement) and fee payment (strong engagement) are then introduced which are able to explain in a simple way both behaviors, and which show an excellent agreement with real data.
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Relaxation of quasi-stationary states in long range interacting systems and a classification of the range of pair interactions

100%
Marcos B., Gabrielli A., Joyce M.
Open Physics
|
2012
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vol. 10
|
issue 3
676-683
EN
Systems of particles interacting with long range interactions present generically ”quasi-stationary states” (QSS), which are approximately time-independent out of equilibrium states. In this proceedings, we explore the generalization of the formation of such QSS and their relaxation from the much studied case of gravity to a generic pair interaction with the asymptotic form of the potential v(r) ∼ 1/r γ with γ > 0 in d dimensions. We compute analytic estimations of the relaxation time calculating the rate of two body collisionality in a virialized system approximated as homogeneous. We show that for γ < (d − 1/2), the collision integral is dominated by the size of the system, while for γ > (d − 1/2), it is dominated by small impact parameters. In addition, the lifetime of QSS increases with the number of particles if γ < d − 1 (i.e. the force is not integrable) and decreases if γ > d − 1. Using numerical simulations we confirm our analytic results. A corollary of our work gives a ”dynamical” classification of interactions: the dynamical properties of the system depend on whether the pair force is integrable or not.
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