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2017 | 72 | 467-481
Article title

Predictive modeling and analysis of changes migrations in Poland

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The development of the research in economy has shown that conducting mathematical modeling and statistics is an effective instrument for diagnosing the progress phenomenon of socio-economic. It provides the information about the dynamics of result changeability in different periods of time. Additionally statistical analysis allows determining the prediction for periods of future and past years. Migrations is characterized by the quality of being measurable because it includes quantitative data. In recent years, demonstrate high dynamics. Conducting the analyses and calculations based on methods and statistical instruments will result in the opportunity to compare, group, analysis variables, specify trends and designate the diagnoses of achieved sports results with the implementation of the optimum vector of variables of independent variable of migrations. An analysis of the dynamics migration variability was carried out on the basis of data from the website of the main statistical office, in this article. Used the statistical methods and the testing of interdependencies. Additionally, the models of time series have been used for the sake of the analysis. The most significant aim of the analysis of the dynamics is the designation of predictions. The use of the model of time series has the task of the specification of the change of the phenomenon level in time.
Physical description
  • The Jerzy Kukuczka Academy of Physical Education in Katowice, 72A Mikolowska Street, 40-065 Katowice, Poland
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