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Number of results

Journal

2008 | 57 | 3-4 | 173-182

Article title

Wprowadzenie - globalne ocieplenie klimatu

Content

Title variants

EN
Introduction to global warming

Languages of publication

PL EN

Abstracts

EN
Global warming, and accompanying processes, such as sea level rise and shrinking of cryosphere, in the last 50 years have been unequivocal. Most of it is very likely have been caused by anthropogenic factors, such as increase of atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases and deforestation, leading to intensification of the greenhouse effect. Illustration in the process of increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration and increase of temperature, based on observational evidence, is presented. Since emissions of greenhouse gases continue to rise, we are committed to further warming in the future. The rate of the future warming depends on the path of socio-economic development and the effectiveness of global mitigation policies. Business-as-usual would lead to a large warming - in 2100 the mean annual temperature can be by 1,8-2,4oC higher than the average for 1980-1999. Climate change impacts can be tempered - avoided, reduced, or delayed if an effective global climate change mitigation policy is agreed upon and implemented.

Keywords

Journal

Year

Volume

57

Issue

3-4

Pages

173-182

Physical description

Dates

published
2008

Contributors

  • Zakład Badań Środowiska Rolniczego i Leśnego PAN, Bukowska 19, 60-809 Poznań, Polska

References

  • Brohan P., Kennedy J. J., Harris I., Tett S. F. B, Jones P. D., 2006. Uncertainty estimates in regional and global observed temperature changes: a new dataset from 1850. J. Geophys. Res. 111, D12106 doi:10.1029/2005JD006548
  • Christensen J. H., Hewitson B., Busuioc A., Chen A., Gao X., Held I., Jones R., Kolli R. K., Kwon W.-t., Laprise R., Magaña Rueda V., Mearns L., Menéndez C. G., Räisänen J., Rinke A., Sarr A., Whetton P., 2007. Regional Climate Projections. [W:] Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Solomon S., Qin D., Manning M., Chen Z., Marquis M., Averyt K. B., Tignor M., Miller H. L. (red.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York, NY.
  • IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), 2007a. Summary for Policymakers. [W:] Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Solomon S., Qin D., Manning M., Chen Z., Marquis M., Averyt K. B., Tignor M., Miller H. L. (red.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York, NY.
  • IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), 2007b. Summary for Policymakers. [W:] Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Parry M. L., Canziani O. F., Palutikof J. P., Van Der Linden P. J., Hanson C. E. (red.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York, NY.
  • Kundzewicz Z. W., 2008a. Konsekwencje globalnych zmian klimatu. Nauka 1, 103-118.
  • Kundzewicz Z. W., 2008b. Rekordowe dwanaście miesięcy. Wiedza i Życie 08, 46-49.
  • Kundzewicz Z. W., Józefczyk D., Österle H., 2007. Warmest 12 consecutive months on record at the Potsdam meteorological station, Germany. Weather 62, 284-286.
  • Kundzewicz Z. W., Gerstengarbe F.-w., Österle H., Werner P. C., Fricke W., 2008. Recent anomalies of mean temperature of 12 consecutive months - Germany, Europe, Northern Hemisphere. Theor. Appl. Climatol. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-008-0013-9.
  • Stern N., 2007. The Economics of Climate Change (The Stern Review). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, www.sternreview.org.uk.
  • UNITED NATIONS, 1992. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/convkp/conveng.pdf.
  • UNITED NATIONS, 1998. Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/convkp/kpeng.pdf.

Document Type

Publication order reference

Identifiers

YADDA identifier

bwmeta1.element.bwnjournal-article-ksv57p173kz
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